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Breaking Down Weather in New England This Week

This week in New England weather will feature mostly dry and seasonable weather (after Monday) for the first half of the week. A warming trend could send western New England into the 70s and even 80s once again. Our next chance for a storm comes this weekend.


TUESDAY


A secondary low will spawn out of a primary low passing to the north of New England. This secondary low will cross New England along with a cold front, much like Monday. The main difference is that this front will be moisture starved compared to Monday. Still, scattered showers are possible in the morning across western New England and the White Mountains. Eastern New England will see some sun in the morning with clouds building in the afternoon and a slight chance for a shower. Temperatures will likely stall around midday and fall in the afternoon.


Euro model showing scattered showers hanging around in the higher elevations on Tuesday:



WEDNESDAY


Wednesday will remain cool and rather breezy, but dry for the region, except for a chance of isolated showers in the mountains. With drier conditions and continued wind, the main weather story for the day will be whether or not fire weather alerts will be posted for southern New England and the lower elevations of Vermont once again.


THURSDAY


A warming trend begins Thursday as a warm front lifts through the region. This will set up another warm end to the week with above average temperatures.Thursday will see temperatures shoot into the 60s and 70s across southern and central New England. Temperatures will remain in the 40s and 50s across northern New England.



FRIDAY


The warmth looks to peak on Friday. This warm up does not look nearly as strong as last week's warm up. 90 degree temperatures will not occur this time around. Temperatures will likely shoot into the 80s across Connecticut and western and central Massachusetts. Highs in the 70s will be common across southern Vermont and the Champlain Valley as well as southwestern and central New Hampshire. An easterly breeze will likely keep eastern areas of New England cooler, with highs staying in the 60s in these areas.

NBM guidance on apparent temperatures for Friday afternoon.


There are still some discrepancies in just how warm it will get across western New England, so these temperatures could change. What is written above is the most likely scenario at the moment. Friday is when forecast confidence begins to drop off.


WEEKEND


This weekend comes the next real chance for a storm. There remains a wide discrepancy on the storm's strength, track and timing. Despite this, it is extremely likely that at some point on Saturday or Sunday New England will get doused. At the moment, it looks more likely for the storm to impact New England more toward the second half of the weekend, Saturday evening or later. Here's the Euro model showing much of New England being doused at midday on Sunday after a dry Saturday:



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