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New England Weather This Week: Cold Start, Seasonable End

This week in New England will be cold and breezy to start things off, but a warming trend is likely at the end of the week.


Here's the summary, read below for details:



MONDAY


As expected, Sunday night's storm is making a quick exit in the morning. By the afternoon, all of New England except for eastern Maine and the higher elevations of northern New England will have dried out. Only some spot rain/snow showers will linger in the areas mentioned before.


A cold front will get dragged across New England as the storm exits, ushering in a return to colder air. Highs will be in the low 40s to about 50° across New England. The afternoon won't see too much warming as the cold front passes. The wind will diminish from impactful levels for the coast this afternoon, but a noticeable breeze will remain across New England, both at the coast and inland.


Weather map for Monday afternoon:



TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY


Low pressure to the north of New England will keep Tuesday and Wednesday cold and breezy. Highs will likely fail to reach 40° anywhere in New England both days. Highs across the northern tier of New England will be held in the 20s. Wind gusts of 20-30mph will persist through Tuesday, leading to feels-like temperatures in the teens and 20s for the afternoon.


Winds will slacken on Wednesday, but it will remain breezy and cold. Feels-like temperatures will remain in the 20s for most. The area of low pressure to the north will begin to slide eastward on Wednesday. This will allow for a more southerly flow to develop with high pressure to our south. This change won't be felt until Thursday, but the pieces for a warmup will begin to get set up on Wednesday.




With low pressure to the north of New England, it will keep the region under "broad cyclonic flow," meaning the winds will be generally flowing counter-clockwise around the low pressure to our north. When this happens, it keeps the threat of scattered showers in the picture.


This will be the case for Tuesday. Scattered flurries will be likely in the afternoon. These flurries will mainly occur in the higher elevations of northern New England, but a spot flurry will still be possible anywhere in New England. Wednesday will see much less flurry activity, and will likely be confined to the mountains as the low pressure begins to shift away.


Expected weather Tuesday afternoon, showing snow showers scattered around:


Outside of the flurries, Tuesday will be partly to mostly cloudy, with generally more clouds the further north in New England you go. Wednesday will see genrally more sun than what Tuesday provided.



THURSDAY


As mentioned above, the low pressure to our north will slide away by Thursday, allowing for a southerly flow to take over and temperatures to warm back up to more seasonable levels. Highs will be in the 40s in southern New England and the mid 30s to mid 40s in northern New England. Winds will also be light and the day will be mostly sunny. Thursday is easily the pick of the week this week.



FRIDAY


Clouds are looking to increase on Friday as the next storm system approaches. This system is currently looking similar to the one that just hit Sunday night, although, right now, it looks to be weaker. The system is looking to push through Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. The most precipitation is currently looking to fall in southern New England and rain will, in all likelihood, be the dominant precipitation type. Friday will again see seasonable to slightly above average temperatures.




WEEKEND


The system above is looking to clear out in time for the weekend with high pressure and seasonable temperatures dominating. Another storm system could enter New England by Sunday night, but the weekend as a whole is looking to be a very nice early December weekend.


BEYOND


The aforementioned storm system, which could be another coastal storm, would most likely impact New England late in the weekend or early next week. Being a week out, there's plenty of possibilities still on the table regarding strength, track and precipitation type. We'll be watching the trends all week.


For what it's worth, the new GraphCast weather model, which you may have heard about on the news a couple weeks ago claiming to be by far the most accurate weather model, has the system coming in overnight Sunday to Monday, lasting all day Monday before pulling away from eastern Maine on Tuesday morning. The model also has New England seeing steady to heavy precipitation.

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