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Fronts to Bring Up and Down Temperatures, Some Showers to New England

Writer's picture: Tim DennisTim Dennis

Strong ridging will remain in place over the eastern United States for much of the next week. With that said, multiple fronts will cross New England, bringing a chance for some showers and up and down temperatures. On Sunday, a secondary cold front will drop through New England. This will bring a reinforcing shot of cold air along with some rain and snow showers across the northern tier of the region. The pressure difference between the trough over New England and building high pressure will also create another breezy day.



Any rain and snow showers that develop across the mountains will struggle to push into central or southern New England overnight tonight as these areas will likely see another dry frontal passage overnight. Lows will be in the 20s to low 30s region-wide. Monday will remain on the cool side with Tuesday being a moderation day as temperatures climb a notch higher. 


Later in the day on Tuesday and heading into Tuesday night, a frontal system passing well north of New England will pull its warm front across the region. This will place New England deep within the warm sector. Combine this with an expansive area of high pressure to the southwest of New England, and temperatures are set to soar.



Highs on Wednesday will be in the 60s north to low 70s south. Thursday will be embedded firmly within the warm sector, allowing for widespread 70s, potentially exceeding 80° in spots. This will likely  be among the warmest Halloweens on record in some places. Cloud cover may, however, prevent temperatures from reaching their full potential, which will be something to watch.



The system responsible for the warm front will drag its cold front across the region after Halloween. This will cool things back off heading into next weekend. It does look like the cooler air mass will lag behind the cold front, which will allow temperatures to stay elevated on Friday, but not to the extent of Thursday. High pressure looks to set up by next weekend. At this point, the air mass behind the front looks to be more seasonable rather than truly chilly (by November standards). 


Below: Current weather map for Friday morning (November 1) showing the frontal passage along with expansive high pressure behind it:



As far as precipitation chances go, these frontal systems will provide some opportunities for rainfall. Currently, widespread showers are possible across northern New England Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday morning as the warm front lifts northward. Up to a quarter inch will be possible for some areas in northern New England, but most will likely see less than that.


In southern New England, much more limited shower activity is possible with minimal measurable rainfall likely. Most areas will likely see a tenth of an inch or less. Still, the chances for showers Tuesday night are higher than the past couple frontal passages (this past Thursday and Saturday, which produced basically nothing in southern areas).


CMC showing potential weather overnight Tuesday to Wednesday:


More showers will be possible with the cold frontal passage late this week. This passage may see a brief window of widespread rainfall for northern New England. As has been the case, central and southern New England will likely see more limited shower activity. There remains no widespread, notable shower chances for southern New England this week, but the pattern may begin slowly turning in favor of more precipitation activity as we head for November. 


Current weather Prediction Center 7-day rainfall forecast. It's still not much, but it's more than what has been advertised over the past few weeks for the most part:


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About Me

My name is Timothy Dennis. I'm a weather enthusiast who was born and raised here in New England. All my life I have been fascinated by the weather. Here I write about New England's current weather while documenting past weather events. 

 

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