New England Weather This Week: Almost as Quiet as it Gets

There's not a whole lot to watch for this week in New England as the generally dry times roll on. Chilly overnight lows and a system well offshore around midweek are the extent of weather features around New England.

Below: Current 7-day precipitation forecast:

MONDAY & TUESDAY

After a good soaking this weekend, New England will revert back to the same general setup seen over the past few weeks. This involves weak and broad troughing aloft, which will lead to temperatures remaining on the cooler side and high pressure at the surface, which will keep things dry. This broad trough (which was responsible for the weekend cold fronts) will slowly be exiting through the start of this week. Monday and Tuesday will be carbon copies of each other.

Below: 500mb height anomaly showing the weak troughing holding on to start off this week. This will be counter-acted by the surface high pressure:

Temperatures will see the 60s north and 70s south dominate for highs. Good radiational cooling conditions will be in place (light winds, clear skies and low humidity), so temperatures will be able to drop off. Widespread lows in the 40s to low 50s will be likely. The northern valleys may be able to drop off into the 30s, prompting the first frost advisory of the season for far northern New England. Both Monday night and Tuesday night will see chilly temperatures.

WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY

The middle of the week will be the most active pattern, which isn't saying much. A system will pass New England offshore around Wednesday into Thursday, bringing the chance for rain to southeast Massachusetts. As usual with these offshore storms, the exact track will determine just how far north and west showers can push, so this period could trend wetter (or drier for the South Shore and Cape Cod). The system will be riding around a large ridge over the Atlantic Ocean, and with high pressure sliding east across New England, it's unlikely that this system will trend toward a widespread rain across New England.

A cold front will approach New England Thursday morning and will slowly cross New England through the day and into Thursday night. This will be a weak, moisture-starved front that will weaken further as it crosses the region. Very little to no showers are expected with this front and it will not have much of an impact on overall temperatures for this week. Warm-air advection ahead of this front will allow temperatures on Thursday to spike into the mid 70s to low 80s for much of the region.

Below: Temperature departure from average for Thursday afternoon:

FRIDAY & WEEKEND

After the passage of the cold front, a cool, Canadian high pressure system will build back into New England, with the week finishing almost exactly like it started. Friday will likely be the coolest day of the week given the fresh frontal passage. Temperatures will likely gradually moderate back toward seasonal averages through the weekend, with each day a couple degrees warmer than the last and 70s dominating.

Below: Current weather map for Friday:

Outside of the temperatures, there won't be much to watch this weekend with no major synoptic weather features really near New England this weekend. This will keep the dry times rolling. The only real feature currently being shown is a cold front late in the weekend, which could, in theory, bring some showers at some point this weekend, but it will likely be moisture-starved, much like the Thursday to Friday front.

Below: Current precipitation forecast this weekend: